Currently the time lag between the conceptual design of a new product and production on an assembly line is the US is unacceptably high. This lead time can be as high as twenty four months. Given a new product and a set of assembly line subsystems that can be used to make the product for a new car, we want to achieve the ability to adapt the subsystems, reconfigure them and set up work cells to produce the product. The roadmap for adaptable and reconfigurable accordingly assembly includes the following goals over the next fifteen years.
5 years: Achieve ability to set up, program and configure basic assembly line operations for new products with a specified industrial robot arm, tooling and auxiliary material handling devices in under 24 hours.
10 years: Achieve ability to set up, program and configure basic assembly line operations for new products with a specified industrial robot arm, tooling and auxiliary material handling devices in one 8 hour shift.
15 years: Achieve ability to set up, program and configure basic assembly line operations for new products with a specified industrial robot arm, tooling and auxiliary material handling devices in one hour.
Autonomous of navigation is a basic capability that will impact the mining automation and construction equipment, the efficient transportation of raw materials to processing plants, automated guided vehicles for material handling in assembly line, and supports operation of logistics like warehousing and distribution. A safe autonomous navigation in unstructured environments with static obstacles, human driven vehicles, animals and pedestrian will require significant investments in component technologies.
5 years: Autonomous of vehicles will be capable of driving in any modern town or city with clearly lit and marked roads and demonstrate safe driving comparable to a human driver.
10 years: Autonomous of vehicles will be capable of driving in any city and on unpaved roads, and exhibit capability for off-road environment that humans can drive in.
15 years: Autonomous of vehicles will be capable of driving in any environment in which humans can drive.
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